You can’t do the same things that other people are doing and expect to outperform them. When you do what everyone else does, you’re going to get the same results everyone else gets. But it’s not enough to be different — you also need to be correct. The goal is not blind divergence from the crowd but rather a way of thinking that sets you apart from others. A way of thinking that gives you an advantage.https://fs.blog/2016/04/second-order-thinking/
Is there really any difference between the image and the video below?
Just being different is not the goal. This next image has always reminded me of this.
But if you can be different AND effective then it is simply better than being effective alone. For anyone to argue this shows a complete lack of understanding and imagination.
The problem is fear and social pressure. Too many coaches are afraid of being wrong and what the decision makers will think about this.
To overcome the fear you just have to be wrong at the right time. You don’t want to be wrong when a game is on the line. You should have tested your ideas by then and they should be proven.
In order to come up with new ideas to test you must get to second-order thinking.
First-level thinkers all look alike. They think the same way other first-level thinkers do, and they usually reach the same conclusions. This is where things get interesting. Extraordinary performance comes from being different. It must be that way. Of course, below-average performance comes from being different, too—on the downside. But the road to out-thinking people can’t come from first-order thinking. It must come from second-order thinking.
Sometimes when we solve one problem, we end up unintentionally creating another one that’s worse. Second-order thinking helps identify the second and subsequent order consequences of a decision before they happen. Knowing these problems before they occur allows us to take steps now to avoid problems later.
Second-order thinkers take into account a lot of what we put into our decision journals. Things like 1) what are the key variables and how do they interact?, 2) where is the leverage?, and 3) if I take this action, what happens next?
Second-order thinking takes a lot of work. It’s not easy to think in terms of systems, interactions, and time. However, doing so is a smart way to separate yourself from the masses.HTTPS://FS.BLOG/2016/04/SECOND-ORDER-THINKING/
Learning from others is essential for success, but if you never take the time to think for yourself you will never achieve results beyond who you learn from. And this isn’t just about schemes. The need for innovation applies to all areas of coaching. Things like team cohesion, leadership, and efficient systems all need our creative focus.
Here are some more quotes from this article on second-order thinking:
Many people are simply unwilling to be wrong because that means they might look foolish. Yet this is a grave mistake.
Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.” – John Meynard Keynes
The ability to risk looking like an idiot, at least in the short term, is necessary for being different. If you look like everyone else, you never look like a fool. Of course, you also never outperform everyone else.
If your thoughts and behavior are conventional, you’re likely to get conventional results